Electric Vehicles

804 The Hon. S.C. MULLIGHAN (Lee) (23 September 2021). How many plug-in hybrid electric vehicles are estimated to be sold, or first registered in South Australia, in:

(a) 2021-22?

(b) 2022-23?

(c) 2023-24?

(d) 2024-25?

The Hon. S.S. MARSHALL (Dunstan—Premier): I have been advised:

Forecasts of electric vehicle take-up rates are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. They are particularly sensitive to assumptions about the price of electric vehicles and model availability.

The Department of Treasury and Finance considered electric vehicle take-up assumptions from a number of sources including the Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (Department of Infrastructure, Transport, Regional Development and Communications), the Future Fuels Strategy (Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources), and the Australian Energy Market Operator.

For forecasting purposes, I am advised that the Department of Treasury and Finance has estimated the number of new plug-in electric hybrid vehicles registered in South Australia as follows:

Around 650 vehicles in 2021-22

Around 1,050 vehicles in 2022-23

Around 1,650 vehicles in 2023-24

Around 2,550 vehicles in 2024-25